We’ve
all seen the TV docs do a postmortem to figure out why and how a victim died so
the NCIS detectives can catch the bad guy.
A lot of organizations will conduct a postmortem after a big event or
project has concluded to do an evaluation (though I prefer an After Action Review, since I hope no one died while implementing the project).
Research
has demonstrated that “prospective hindsight” – imagining that an event has
already occurred – increases the ability to correctly identify reasons for
future outcomes by 30%.* Therefore, some
organizations conduct a “premortem” to identify potential problems before implementing
a project.
To
conduct a “premortem” ask your team to imagine:
“If
this project ends up having some breakdowns, what would you guess those might
be?”
This
gives people license to play a sort of brainstorm guessing game without the
pressure of being labeled as a negative thinker.
A
premortem is a good discipline to add to the end of your planning process to
identify possible hidden problems lurking around the corner. It also helps slow the process down just a
bit in case the team (or more especially some excited leaders) are going a bit
too fast.
There
is no way to predict every possible problem that can occur when implementing a
project, but the premortem provide a chance to avoid some challenges and allow
the organization to make even more of a Mission
Impact.
*Performing
a Project Premortem, Gary Klein, Harvard Business Review, September, 2007.
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